Philadelphia’s Citizens Bank Park is set to crackle with energy tonight as the Phillies square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a matchup that’s got bettors on edge. On May 3, 2025, the two teams clash at 6:45 p.m., with oddsmakers pegging the Phillies as favorites but leaving plenty of room for an upset.
The moneyline has Philadelphia at -152, meaning a $152 bet would net you $100 if they pull it off. The Diamondbacks, sitting at +128, offer a $128 payout on a $100 wager if they defy expectations. The run line favors the Phillies at -1.5 with +134 odds, while Arizona’s +1.5 comes in at -162. For those eyeing the total runs, the over/under is locked at 9, with both sides evenly balanced at -110 odds. These figures, pulled from major sportsbooks like BetMGM, reflect a game that’s no slam dunk for either squad.
On the mound, the Phillies are rolling out Aaron Nola, a right-hander who’s been a steady hand this season. Nola’s 2025 stats aren’t public yet, but last year he logged a 4.46 ERA over 193.2 innings, striking out 202 batters. He’s a workhorse, and Philly’s banking on him to stifle Arizona’s bats. The Diamondbacks counter with Brandon Pfaadt, a righty who’s shown flashes of brilliance. In 2024, Pfaadt went 3-9 but posted a 2.13 ERA in the postseason, including a gem against the Phillies where he tossed 5.2 scoreless innings, fanning nine.
Both teams are coming off uneven starts to the season. On May 2, the Phillies dropped a 4-2 decision to the Nationals, with Trea Turner’s 3-for-4 night not enough to spark a rally. The Diamondbacks, meanwhile, edged the Mets 4-2, powered by Geraldo Perdomo’s homer and Zac Gallen’s six strong innings. Arizona’s been scrappy on the road, going 47-42 away last season, while Philly’s 55-34 home record in 2023 shows they thrive in front of their raucous fans.
Bettors are also eyeing player props. Kyle Schwarber, Philly’s slugging left fielder, leads the team with nine homers this year and 23 RBIs, making him a prime pick for an RBI or long ball. For Arizona, Corbin Carroll’s speed and .250 postseason batting average last year make him a threat to swipe a bag or leg out a hit.
The weather could play a role. Forecasts call for low-80s temps in Philadelphia, with 8-10 mph winds blowing out to right field. A chance of light sprinkles looms, but nothing game-changing. This setup might favor hitters, pushing the game toward the over.
Tonight’s game is the second of a three-game set, with the Phillies favored to take the series at -180 odds. Arizona’s not out of it, though—their knack for winning as underdogs (46 of 93 games in 2023) keeps them dangerous. First pitch is 6:45 p.m. at Citizens Bank Park, airing on Fubo.